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🌦️ WEATHER WATCH: Strengthening El Niño has its eyes on history, updated forecast says

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Federal forecasters announced that the current El Niño could rank among the strongest events in the historical record going back to 1950.

Federal forecasters have dramatically increased the chances that a new El Niño will grow into a historically strong event that will influence weather around the world. 

Specifically, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center said on July 9 there is an 81% chance of a "very strong" El Niño by the fall. 

In June, the chance of a "very strong" event was 63%. There's also a 97% chance the current El Niño will last through early spring 2027. 


"Only 7 El Nino events over the last 75 years have been classified as very strong, so the expectation is that this event will be among the strongest in the historical record we monitor," said Michelle L'Heureux, physical scientist at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, in an email to USA TODAY.

A strengthening El Niño could become one of the most powerful on record, with forecasters warning of significant impacts on global weather, temperatures, and climate patterns in the months ahead. Read the full story from USA TODAY to learn what this updated forecast could mean for communities worldwide.

View the full story: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2026/07/09/el-nino-could-rival-strongest-recorded-history/90784037007/

Location: New York, NY, USA

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